November 29, 2022



Re – analyzing return bids of serving senators 

Three months in the past earlier than the get together primaries, the variety of Senators projected to return to the Senate has drastically dropped after a lot of them didn’t safe tickets for his or her reelection bids. TAIYE ODEWALE studies.

Earlier evaluation made 

Within the final evaluation made on the thirtieth of Might, 2022 instantly after primaries of the main political events, about 60 out of 109 senators, have been reported to have failed in securing return tickets from their varied political events.

The failures as acknowledged within the studies have been hinged on  three completely different  causes. (i) aspirations  for greater political places of work by the affected serving Senators (ii) outright loss at get together primaries and (iii) zoning association in respective senatorial districts.

Those that fell into the primary class of non – returning senators based mostly on realities on floor in Might throughout and after get together primaries have been the Senate President, Ahmad Lawan, who ran for presidential ticket of his get together, the All Progressives Congress (APC) in June however misplaced, his Deputy, Senator Ovie Omo – Agege who ran for Gubernatorial ticket of the identical get together in Delta State and gained, Senator Uba Sani who did similar in Kaduna state, at Senator Aisha Binani who additionally did similar  in Adamawa state, likewise Senator Sandy Onor who falls into the identical class in Cross River state on the platform of the Peoples Democratic Get together (PDP) and so on.

These within the class of outright loss at get together primaries as analysed then, have been Senators Ibrahim Yahaya Oloriegbe (APC Kwara Central), Good Adeyemi (APC Kogi West), Ayo Akinyelure (PDP Ondo Central), Danjumah La’ah (PDP Kaduna South ), Nicholas Tofowomo (PDP Ondo South), Onyewuchi Ezenwa Francis (PDP Imo East) and  Aliyu Sabi Abdullahi (APC Niger North).

Others within the class of outright loss at get together primaries then, have been,  Senators Jika Haliru Dauda (APC Bauchi Central ), Bulkachuwa Adamu Muhammad (APC Bauchi North) Amos Bulus Kilawangs (APC Gombe South), Mandiya Bello (APC Katsina South), Gyang Istifanus Dung (PDP Plateau North) and so on.

These within the class of voluntary determination of non – returning on account of zoning preparations of their respective senatorial districts , have been Senators Betty Apiafi (PDP Rivers West), Orker – Jev Emmanuel Yisa (PDP Benue North West ), Oseni Yakubu (APC Kogi Central), Oluremi Tinubu ( APC Lagos Central) and so on.

Newest state by state evaluation 

Analytically on the premise of state by state now, within the North West, just one one out of the  whole three Senators from Jigawa state, particularly Hadejia Hassan Ibrahim, Sankara Danladi Abubakar and Mohammed Sabo Nakudu bought return ticket. 

Nakudu who represents Jigawa South West, bought his return ticket final week in a contemporary major election performed by APC after the demise of Tijjani Ibrahim who gained the first election three months in the past.

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Nakudu had within the earlier primaries held, ran for the governorship ticket together with the 2 different serving senators however   misplaced to the present Deputy Governor, Alhaji Umar Namadi.

Because it was in Jigawa, so it’s in Katsina state the place not one of the three serving Senators particularly, Ahmed Baba Kaita, Bello Mandiya and Abdullahi Barkiya Kabir secured returned ticket from their get together (APC).

For Kaita, the hunt for governorship place of the state, made him to give up the get together few months in the past to PDP whereas Mandiya and Barkiya misplaced out within the Senatorial major elections performed by the get together final Saturday.

In Zamfara state throughout the similar North West geo – political zone , out of the three Senators who got here into the ninth Senate in June 2019, just one has secured return ticket for contest within the 2023 basic election for attainable return into the approaching tenth Senate .

Whereas Senator Sabi Ya’u (Zamfara North) succeeded in getting return ticket, Senator Lawali Hassan Anka ( Zamfara West ) sacrificed his personal for former governor of the state, Abdulaziz Yari who’s being pacified by the state governor, Bello Mattawale together with Senator Kabiru Marafa settled with Zamfara Central senatorial ticket, a seat occupied by Senator Mohammed Hassan earlier than resigning for Deputy Governorship place of the State few months again.

In Kebbi state, solely Senator Bala Ibn Na ‘Allah (Kebbi South) bought a return ticket out of the three serving Senators from the state on the platform of APC which made the opposite two, i.e, the forner Senate Chief, Yahaya Abdullahi (Kebbi  North ) and Senator Adamu Aliero (Kebbi Central) defected to PDP for senatorial tickets.

In Kaduna state, solely Senator Suleiman Abdul – Kwari (Kaduna North) secured return ticket from his get together (APC), as Senator Uba Sani (Kaduna Central) opted for the place of the State on the platform of APC whereas Senator Danjumah La’ah (Kaduna South), misplaced out within the major election performed by his get together (PDP).

Nevertheless in Kano state, whereas Senators Kabiru Gaya ( APC Kano  South) and Jibrin Barau ( APC Kano North), secured return ticket throughout the major,  Ibrahim Shekarau failed, making him to defect to NNPP for the ticket however yesterday dumped NNPP for PDP with no clear signal of securing senatorial ticket or not for now.

In Sokoto state, all of the three serving Senators bought return tickets. The senators are Aliyu Wammakko (Sokoto North), Gobir Ibrahim Abdullahi (Sokoto East) and Ibrahim Abdullahi (Sokoto South) who defected from PDP to APC few months in the past.

In North Central geo-political zone, significantly Plateau state, not one of the three serving Senators particularly Professor Nora Ladi  Daduut (Plateau South) Dimka Hezekiah (Plateau Central) and Gyang Istifanus Dung (Plateau North), secured return ticket from their events.

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In Kogi state, Senators Good Adeyemi (Kogi West) and Yakubu Oseni (Kogi Central) usually are not returning to the Senate with solely Senator Jibrin Isa (Kogi East), securing returning ticket.

Additionally in Niger state, whereas destiny of Senate Bima Enagi (Niger South) shouldn’t be identified but, the Deputy Whip of the Senate, Aliyu Sabi Abdullahi (Niger North) misplaced out in his bid for a return ticket however Senator Sani Musa (Niger East) bought a return ticket from  the first election performed final Saturday .

In Nasarawa state, Senator Tanko Al – Makura (APC  Nasarawa South) bought return ticket whereas Godiya  Akwashiki who earlier misplaced within the APC primaries, succeeded in getting Senatorial ticket from Social Democratic Get together (SDP), he defected to. The third Senator now former, Adamu Abdullahi didn’t make any return bid being the  Nationwide Chairman of the ruling get together now.

In  Benue and Kwara states  respectively, two out of the three Senators from the states, secured returned tickets. Those who didn’t get return tickets have been Ibrahim Yahaya Oloriegbe (Kwara Central) and Orker – Jev Emmanuel Yisa (Benue North West).

In North East geo political zone beginning with Bauchi state , all of the three serving senators misplaced out however 

Senator Haliru Jika (Bauchi Central), later secured senatorial ticket from NNPP he defected to from APC.

In Taraba state, solely Senator Isa Shuaibu Lau (Taraba North),  secured return ticket whereas Senators Emmanuel Bwacha (Taraba South) and Yusuf Abubakar Yusuf (Taraba Central) went for Governorship contest later gained by Bwacha.

In Yobe state, the Senate President, Ahmad Lawan continues to be struggling to retrieve Yobe North Senatorial ticket from Bashir Machina who gained it throughout Primaries when Lawan was busy with Presidential ticket which he together with different contestants misplaced to Asiwaju Ahmed Bola Tinubu, the Presidential candidate of APC.

However the former governor of the state, Senator Ibrahim Gaidam (Yobe East), and Senator Bomai Ibrahim Mohammed (Yobe South), secured return tickets from APC.

In Gombe state, Senator Amos Bulus Kilawangs (Gombe South) misplaced out in his return bid to former Senator Joshua Lidani whereas Senators Mohammed Danjuma Goje (Gombe Central) and Alkali Saidu (Gombe North), secured return tickets from APC. 

Comparable situation performed out in Adamawa State, the place Senators Ishaku Elisha Cliff Abbo (Adamawa North) and Binos Dauda Yaroe (Adamawa South), secured return tickets from APC and PDP respectively whereas Senator Aishatu Ahmed Binani (Adamawa Central), is rooting for the governorship place of the state, having emerged because the guber candidate of APC.

In Borno state, solely Senator Ali Ndume (APC Borno South) is holding a return ticket as the 2 different Senators i.e, Shettima Kashim (Borno Central) is now a Vice Presidential Candidate of APC and Abubakar Kyari (Borno North), the Nationwide Deputy Chairman of APC (North).

 In South West from Ondo state ,  not one of the three serving Senators i.e , the Senate Deputy Chief, Ajayi Boroffice ( Ondo  North), Ayo Akinyelure ( Ondo Central) and Nicholas Tofowomo (Ondo South), returning.

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In Lagos state, solely Senator Tokunbo Abiru (Lagos East) is returning on account of shifting of political base to Ogun West by Senator Olamilekan Adeola from Lagos West and voluntary stoppage of contest by Senator Oluremi Tinubu (Lagos Central).

In Ogun state, Senator Ibikunle Amosun (Ogun Central), shouldn’t be making a return on account of  Presidential contest he made, whereas Senator  Lekan Mustapha (Ogun East) has secured return ticket. For Ogun West, Senators Olamilekan Adeola and Tolu Odebiyi are individually laying declare to the ticket.

In Oyo state, Senators Abdulfatah Buhari (Oyo North) and Kola Balogun (Oyo South), secured return tickets however Senator Teslim Folarin (Oyo Central), didn’t make a return bid on account of Gubernatorial ambition on the platform of APC.

Nevertheless in Ekiti and Osun states, out there outcomes from primaries performed by APC and PDP point out that the six serving Senators from the states, secured return tickets.

In South-South geo – political zone, solely Senator Clifford Ordia (Edo Central) bought return ticket out of the three serving Senators from Edo state. 

In Cross River state, related situation performed out with Senators Sandy Onor (Cross River Central) and Gershom Bassey (Cross River South), not making return bids on account of gubernatorial ambitions.

Comparable development performed out in Delta State  the place the Deputy President of the Senate Ovie Omo – Agege (Delta Central) and James Supervisor (Delta South) are out of return bids on account of gubernatorial ambition leaving Senator Peter Nwaoboshi (Delta North ) with return bid into the tenth Senate.

Solely Senator Barinada Mpigi (Rivers South East), secured return ticket in Rivers state like Eyinkenyi Akon Etim from Akwa Ibom state .

Nevertheless, in Bayelsa state, your complete three serving Senators secured return tickets.

In South East geo political zone, solely Senator Ezenwa Francis (Imo East) secured senatorial ticket from Labour get together whereas Senators Rochas Okorocha (Imo West) and   Chukwuma Frank Ibezim (Imo North), usually are not returning.

Equally in Ebonyi state, solely Senator Michael Nnachi (PDP Ebonyi South), secured return ticket whereas Senator Sam Egwu (PDP Ebonyi North) and Obinna Ogba (PDP Ebonyi Central), usually are not returning.

Two out of the serving senators from Abia, Anambra and Enugu states respectively, secured return tickets simply as the one senator for the Federal Capital Territory, Philip Tanimu Aduda, secured return ticket.

All in all, on the stage of major election alone and fixings made thereafter throughout political events, 55  out of 109 senators are out of the race for the tenth Senate in 2023, a few of whom won’t even make it at basic election, clearly exhibiting common  signal of excessive turnover so far as numbers of senators who won’t return are involved.